Varvara Lepchenko vs Carolina Alves — Quito 125 Round of 32

Quito 125 · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
Varvara Lepchenko
USA
Varvara Lepchenko
#175WTA
1578ELO
1533Clay ELO
40 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 1 December 2025
clay
BRA
Carolina Alves
#335WTA
1280ELO
1265Clay ELO
30 yrs · 170 cm
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLLLLWW
Lepchenko V.
7-6 6-7 6-2
Alves C.
Lepchenko V.
786662
Alves C.
667821

Varvara Lepchenko defeated Carolina Alves 7-6 6-7 6-2 in the Quito 125 round of 32 on clay.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Lepchenko V.serving40% hold

wins 46% of points on serve vs Alves C.

Alves C.serving49% hold

wins 50% of points on serve vs Lepchenko V.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Lepchenko V.Alves C.
1st serve in·Even
65%
68%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
46%
Service points won·Even
57%
56%
Return points won·Slight edge
43%
48%
Break points saved·Even
54%
51%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.1
0.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.4
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (92 vs 83). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Lepchenko V.Alves C.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
47
11
Break points saved·Dominant
64
9
Break points won·Slight edge
65
72
Deciding sets·Dominant
72
40
Tiebreaks·
39
—

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Lepchenko V.
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Alves C.
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.4+268 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.6Clay Elo 1265
8.8Overall Elo 1578
ELO gap
1.2Overall Elo 1280
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.6
Surface form
4.6
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
3-set count
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Lepchenko V.Alves C.
Freshness·
72
—

Lepchenko V.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 73 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast

Draw

Final
Hercog P.
Giovannini L.
6-26-1
Semi-finals
Giovannini L.
Papamichail D.
6-46-2
Hercog P.
Jeanjean L.
6-26-2
Quarter-finals
Giovannini L.
Reasco Gonzalez M.
6-37-5
Papamichail D.
Udvardy P.
6-47-5
Hercog P.
Kalieva E.
6-36-1
Jeanjean L.
Erjavec V.
6-36-0
R16
Reasco Gonzalez M.
Maria T.
W/O
Udvardy P.
Samson L.
6-17-63
Papamichail D.
Zolotareva A.
7-647-5
Erjavec V.
Pigossi L.
7-56-2
Jeanjean L.
Nahimana S.
6-36-3
Kalieva E.
Lepchenko V.
6-46-2
Hercog P.
Oliynykova O.
4-66-36-3
Giovannini L.
Chwalinska M.
6-36-4
R32
Maria T.
Burillo Escorihuela I.
6-16-766-4
Chwalinska M.
Varela Alvarado T.
6-06-0
Samson L.
Ortenzi J.
3-66-46-1
Zolotareva A.
Romero C.
3-66-46-2
Erjavec V.
Tikhonova A.
6-46-2
Pigossi L.
Akli A.
6-41-66-3
Nahimana S.
Vargas V.
6-36-2
Jeanjean L.
Vedder E.
6-16-2
Lepchenko V.
Alves C.
7-666-766-2
Kalieva E.
Bulgaru M.
6-36-3
Hercog P.
Sorribes Tormo S.
7-604-66-3
Oliynykova O.
Colmegna M.
6-33-66-3
Reasco Gonzalez M.
Strakhova V.
3-67-57-5
Giovannini L.
Mediorreal Arias V.
3-66-26-3
Udvardy P.
Cherubini D.
7-636-2
Papamichail D.
Herrero Linana A.
7-651-66-3