Anastasia Tikhonova vs Darja SemenistajaKia Open - Barranquilla Round of 32

Kia Open - Barranquilla · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#262WTA
1347ELO
1302Hard ELO
$56kYTD
$533kCAREER
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWLLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 7 September 2026 ·
hard
Campo 8 · 2nd on
#109WTA
1654ELO
1568Hard ELO
$348kYTD
$1.1MCAREER
23 yrs · 169 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLLLLLL
Tikhonova A.
6-4 4-6 7-5
Semenistaja D.
Tikhonova A.
6472
Semenistaja D.
4651

Anastasia Tikhonova defeated Darja Semenistaja in the Round of 32 at the Kia Open - Barranquilla. The match ended with a score of 6-4, 4-6, 7-5 in favor of Tikhonova. Both players secured five service breaks each, with Tikhonova hitting seven aces and committing eight double faults, compared to Semenistaja's zero aces and four double faults.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-01-17W50 New Delhi 1QFhardDarja Semenistaja6-1 6-3

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
52%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
58%
2nd serve points won·Even
43%
45%
Service points won·Even
53%
54%
Return points won·Even
42%
46%
Break points saved·Slight edge
52%
45%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.7
1.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.9
1.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 48). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
0
76
Break points saved·Dominant
13
52
Break points won·Clear edge
78
96
Deciding sets·Dominant
1
94
Tiebreaks·
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Tikhonova A.25%
Semenistaja D.75%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Semenistaja D. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
3.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.7Hard Elo 1302
Surface ELO
8.3+266 Hard Elo edge
1.2Overall Elo 1347
ELO gap
8.8Overall Elo 1654
2.2Trails 0–2 on hard
H2H
7.8Leads 2–0 on hard
2.22 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.45 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
6.0Clay → Hard
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
65
85

Tikhonova A.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 79 games (7d) · Semenistaja D.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 32 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
30°CThunderstorm
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 78%

Draw