Nao Hibino vs Anastasia TikhonovaKia Open - Barranquilla Round of 16

Kia Open - Barranquilla · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#228WTA
1560ELO
1523Hard ELO
$131kYTD
$3.9MCAREER
31 yrs · 163 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWLWLLWL
0 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 9 September 2026 ·
hard
#262WTA
1347ELO
1302Hard ELO
$56kYTD
$533kCAREER
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWLLWL
Hibino N.
4-6 4-6
Tikhonova A.
Hibino N.
440
Tikhonova A.
662

Anastasia Tikhonova defeated Nao Hibino in the Round of 16 at the Kia Open - Barranquilla. The match ended with a straight-sets victory for Tikhonova, 6-4, 6-4.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
67%
52%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
62%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
48%
43%
Service points won·Slight edge
58%
53%
Return points won·Even
44%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
61%
52%
Aces / match·Even
2.5
2.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.7
4.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (40 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
24
0
Break points saved·Slight edge
6
13
Break points won·Slight edge
86
78
Deciding sets·Slight edge
11
1
Tiebreaks·
79

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:50 UTC
Hibino N.77%
Tikhonova A.23%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Hibino N. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.8+221 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.2Hard Elo 1302
7.7Overall Elo 1560
ELO gap
2.3Overall Elo 1347
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.55 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.43 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
85
65

Hibino N.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d) · Tikhonova A.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 79 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
30°COvercast
Wind 23 km/hHumidity 78%

Draw