Katrina Scott vs Varvara LepchenkoKia Open - Barranquilla Round of 32

Kia Open - Barranquilla · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#245WTA
1502ELO
1455Hard ELO
$29kYTD
$494kCAREER
22 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLLWWL
0 — 2
Sets
Monday, 7 September 2026 ·
hard
Court KIA · 3rd on
#181WTA
1578ELO
1559Hard ELO
$174kYTD
$5.8MCAREER
40 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWLWLL
Scott K.
6-7 1-6
Lepchenko V.
Scott K.
6110
Lepchenko V.
7762

Varvara Lepchenko defeated Katrina Scott in the Round of 32 at the Kia Open - Barranquilla. The match ended with a score of 7-6, 6-1 in favor of Lepchenko. Lepchenko hit 5 aces and 3 double faults, while converting 33% of break points and winning 2 service breaks, compared to Scott's 2 aces, 7 double faults, 0% break point conversion, and 0 service breaks.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

  • Match story: Varvara Lepchenko came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 7–6 6–1.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
45%
Service points won·Even
56%
55%
Return points won·Even
47%
43%
Break points saved·Even
56%
56%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.0
3.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.3
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 36). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
0
15
Break points saved·Slight edge
28
17
Break points won·Slight edge
67
56
Deciding sets·Slight edge
5
14
Tiebreaks·
55

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 18:50 UTC
Scott K.59%
Lepchenko V.41%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Scott K. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.7Hard Elo 1455
Surface ELO
6.3+103 Hard Elo edge
4.0Overall Elo 1502
ELO gap
6.0Overall Elo 1578
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
3.64 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
2.53 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
93
85

Scott K.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d) · Lepchenko V.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 38 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
29°COvercast
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 83%

Draw