Varvara Lepchenko vs Claire Liu — Kia Open - Barranquilla Round of 16

Kia Open - Barranquilla · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
Varvara Lepchenko
USA
Varvara Lepchenko
#181WTA
1578ELO
1559Hard ELO
$174kYTD
$5.8MCAREER
40 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLLLWLWLL
0 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 9 September 2026 ·
hard
Claire Liu
USA5
Claire Liu
#111WTA
1669ELO
1635Hard ELO
$477kYTD
$2.8MCAREER
26 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLLWLWWL
Lepchenko V.
3-6 3-6
Liu C.
Lepchenko V.
330
Liu C.
662

Claire Liu advanced to the quarterfinals of the Kia Open - Barranquilla with a straight-sets victory over Varvara Lepchenko. Liu won the match 6-3, 6-3.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

Head to head

1–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2021-02-28W25 Boca RatonFhardVarvara Lepchenko3-6 6-4 6-0

Statistics

This season
Lepchenko V.Liu C.
1st serve in·Even
67%
69%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
47%
Service points won·Even
55%
57%
Return points won·Even
43%
47%
Break points saved·Even
56%
54%
Aces / match·Even
3.0
2.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.6
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (36 vs 45). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Lepchenko V.Liu C.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
15
24
Break points saved·Slight edge
17
23
Break points won·Clear edge
56
76
Deciding sets·Slight edge
14
24
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
55
40

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:50 UTC
Lepchenko V.15%
Liu C.85%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Liu C. heavily favoured

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Lepchenko V.
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Liu C.
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.0Hard Elo 1559
Surface ELO
6.0+76 Hard Elo edge
3.9Overall Elo 1578
ELO gap
6.1Overall Elo 1669
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
3.23 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.48 of last 10 on hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Lepchenko V.Liu C.
Freshness·Clear edge
85
67

Lepchenko V.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 38 games (7d) · Liu C.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 73 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
30°COvercast
Wind 23 km/hHumidity 78%

Draw