Ryan Peniston vs Daniil Glinka — Cassis Round of 32

Cassis · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
Ryan Peniston
GBRALT
Ryan Peniston
#455ATP
1441ELO
1402Hard ELO
30 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLLLL
0 — 2
Sets
Monday, 7 September 2026 ·
hard
EST5
Daniil Glinka
#156ATP
1477ELO
1491Hard ELO
26 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWLWWWLW
Peniston R.
6-7 2-6
Glinka D.
Peniston R.
6520
Glinka D.
7762

Daniil Glinka defeated Ryan Peniston in the Round of 32 at the Cassis hard-court tournament. Glinka won the match 7-6, 6-2. In the match, Glinka hit 4 aces and 5 double faults, while converting 50% of break points and winning 4 service breaks to Peniston's 2.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

  • Match story: Daniil Glinka closed it out in two sets, 7–6 6–2.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Peniston R.Glinka D.
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
63%
71%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
40%
49%
Service points won·Slight edge
55%
62%
Return points won·Even
38%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
51%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.8
5.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.2
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (5 vs 30). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Peniston R.Glinka D.
Clutch Rating·Even
20
23
Break points saved·Clear edge
60
82
Break points won·Clear edge
25
9
Deciding sets·Dominant
36
6
Tiebreaks·Dominant
15
72

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC
Peniston R.44%
Glinka D.56%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Peniston R.
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Glinka D.
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.9Hard Elo 1402
Surface ELO
6.1+89 Hard Elo edge
4.5Overall Elo 1441
ELO gap
5.5Overall Elo 1477
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
0.61 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.26 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 9
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Peniston R.Glinka D.
Freshness·Slight edge
86
81

Peniston R.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d) · Glinka D.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 43 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
29°CPartly cloudy
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 65%

Draw