Mathys Erhard vs Daniil Glinka — Cassis Round of 16

Cassis · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
FRA
Mathys Erhard
#339ATP
1382ELO
1348Hard ELO
24 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWLWWWLW
0 — 2
Sets
Retired
Wednesday, 9 September 2026 ·
hard
Court 1 · 1st on
EST5
Daniil Glinka
#156ATP
1477ELO
1491Hard ELO
26 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWLWWWLW
Erhard M.
6-7 2-4
Glinka D.
Erhard M.
6320
Glinka D.
7742

Daniil Glinka advanced to the quarterfinals of the Cassis tournament with a win over Mathys Erhard in the Round of 16. Erhard retired during the match, trailing 7-6, 4-2. Glinka hit 7 aces and no double faults, while Erhard had 3 aces and 1 double fault; Glinka converted 60% of break points and Erhard converted 100%, with Glinka securing 3 service breaks to Erhard's 2.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Head to head

1–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2021-04-19M15 Antalya 16Q32clayMathys Erhard3-6 6-3 12-10

Statistics

This season
Erhard M.Glinka D.
1st serve in·Even
62%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
49%
Service points won·Even
63%
62%
Return points won·Even
37%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
65%
60%
Aces / match·Even
4.7
5.3
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.1
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 30). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Erhard M.Glinka D.
Clutch Rating·Even
23
23
Break points saved·Slight edge
73
82
Break points won·Slight edge
19
9
Deciding sets·Dominant
37
6
Tiebreaks·Dominant
11
72

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Erhard M.49%
Glinka D.51%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Erhard M.
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Glinka D.
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.2Hard Elo 1348
Surface ELO
6.8+143 Hard Elo edge
3.8Overall Elo 1382
ELO gap
6.2Overall Elo 1477
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
6.46 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.76 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Erhard M.Glinka D.
Freshness·Slight edge
72
81

Erhard M.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d) · Glinka D.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 43 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
26°COvercast
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 53%

Draw