Moez Echargui vs Lucas PoullainCassis Round of 32

Cassis · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#226ATP
1416ELO
1408Hard ELO
33 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 7 September 2026 ·
hard
Court 1 · 3rd on
#343ATP
1295ELO
1286Hard ELO
30 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWWW
Echargui M.
6-4 6-2
Poullain L.
Echargui M.
662
Poullain L.
420

Moez Echargui defeated Lucas Poullain in the Round of 32 of the Cassis hard-court tournament, winning 6-4, 6-2. Echargui served two aces to Poullain's zero and converted 40% of his break points, compared to Poullain's 20%. Echargui won two service breaks to Poullain's one.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2020-12-10M15 Monastir 20R16hardLucas Poullain6-2 2-6 6-4

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
68%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
51%
Service points won·Even
62%
61%
Return points won·Slight edge
35%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
62%
55%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.3
1.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.6
0.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 16). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
4
11
Break points saved·Clear edge
48
31
Break points won·Slight edge
11
21
Deciding sets·Slight edge
4
12
Tiebreaks·Dominant
42
76

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC
Echargui M.42%
Poullain L.58%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.5+122 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.5Hard Elo 1286
6.5Overall Elo 1416
ELO gap
3.5Overall Elo 1295
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
3.03 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.18 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
82
90

Echargui M.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d) · Poullain L.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 67%

Draw