Moez Echargui vs Billy Harris — Cassis Round of 16
Echargui M.
Moez Echargui faces Billy Harris in the Cassis round of 16 on hard. Billy Harris holds the paper edge — ranked #161, a roughly 70-point hard Elo advantage. Recent hard form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Moez Echargui 66 games in 14 days, Billy Harris 125.
- Last match: Moez Echargui dropped just 6 games past Lucas Poullain.
- Surface form: Both 4 of 9 on hard recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadEchargui M.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d) · Harris B.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 77 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.