Hayato Matsuoka vs Jake DelaneyShanghai Round of 32

Shanghai · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#255ATP
1361ELO
1332Hard ELO
21 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWLW
1 — 2
Sets
Monday, 7 September 2026 ·
hard
Court 6 · 3rd on
#365ATP
1103ELO
1088Hard ELO
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWWWWW
Matsuoka H.
6-2 6-7 6-7
Delaney J.
Matsuoka H.
665661
Delaney J.
277782

Jake Delaney defeated Hayato Matsuoka in the Round of 32 at the Shanghai tournament. Delaney won in three sets, 2-6, 7-6, 7-6. Delaney hit 8 aces and 2 double faults, while converting 0 of his break points and notching 0 service breaks; Matsuoka had 9 aces, 1 double fault, 67 percent break points converted, and 2 service breaks.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
52%
Service points won·Even
63%
65%
Return points won·Slight edge
40%
35%
Break points saved·Slight edge
56%
65%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.7
6.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.2
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Matsuoka H.59%
Delaney J.41%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Matsuoka H. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.0+243 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.0Hard Elo 1088
8.2Overall Elo 1361
ELO gap
1.8Overall Elo 1103
7.8Leads 2–0 on hard
H2H
2.2Trails 0–2 on hard
7.07 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.03 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
75
74

Matsuoka H.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 34 games (7d) · Delaney J.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 34 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
27°CClear
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 65%

Draw