Pavel Kotov vs Jake DelaneyShanghai Round of 16

Shanghai · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#250ATP
1597ELO
1601Hard ELO
27 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWLLLWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 9 September 2026 ·
hard
Court 6 · 1st on
#365ATP
1103ELO
1088Hard ELO
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWWWWWWW
Kotov P.
7-6 7-6
Delaney J.
Kotov P.
77792
Delaney J.
65670

Pavel Kotov defeated Jake Delaney in the Round of 16 at the Shanghai tournament, winning 7-6, 7-6 on hard courts. Kotov and Delaney were evenly matched in terms of service breaks, each securing one. Kotov hit six aces and did not commit a double fault, while Delaney had eight aces and four double faults.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
78%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
52%
Service points won·Even
69%
65%
Return points won·Even
37%
35%
Break points saved·Even
65%
65%
Aces / match·Even
6.6
6.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.7
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 06:50 UTC
Kotov P.74%
Delaney J.26%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Kotov P. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
10.0+512 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Hard Elo 1088
10.0Overall Elo 1597
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1103
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.58 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.04 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
76
74

Kotov P.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 31 games (7d) · Delaney J.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 34 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
26°COvercast
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 53%

Draw