Pedro Rodenas vs M. Van Der Meerschen β€” M15 Madrid Semi-final

M15 Madrid Β· ITF Β· Semi-final
#676ATP
22 yrs Β· 185 cm Β· Left-handed
Last 10 Β· pre-match
WWWLWWLWLW
0 β€” 2
Sets
Saturday, 5 September 2026 Β·
clay
#585ATP
26 yrs
Last 10 Β· pre-match
WLWWWLWWWL
Rodenas P.
5-7 4-6
Van Der Meerschen M.
Rodenas P.
540
Van Der Meerschen M.
762

Mattias Van Der Meerschen defeated Pedro Rodenas 7-5, 6-4 in the semifinals of the M15 Madrid tournament on clay. Van Der Meerschen converted 43% of his break points and secured three service breaks, compared to one for Rodenas. Van Der Meerschen hit two aces and two double faults, while Rodenas had five aces and three double faults.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve inΒ·Clear edge
71%
54%
1st serve points wonΒ·Slight edge
63%
70%
2nd serve points wonΒ·Even
50%
53%
Service points wonΒ·Even
59%
62%
Return points wonΒ·Slight edge
46%
41%
Break points savedΒ·Even
62%
61%
Aces / matchΒ·Even
2.3
2.8
Double faults / matchΒ·Slight edge
4.1
3.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (9 vs 6). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match Β· updated 08:50 UTC
Rodenas P.61%
Van Der Meerschen M.39%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge Β· Rodenas P. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial Β· surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (βˆ’0.5)
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial Β· surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (βˆ’0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors β€” matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation β€” into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
35Β°COvercast
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 24%

Draw