Ryan Nijboer vs M. Van Der Meerschen β€” M15 Madrid Final

M15 Madrid Β· ITF Β· Final
#532ATP
27 yrs Β· 180 cm Β· Right-handed
Last 10 Β· pre-match
WWWWWWLWLW
2 β€” 0
Sets
Sunday, 6 September 2026 Β·
clay
#585ATP
26 yrs
Last 10 Β· pre-match
WWWWWLWWWL
Nijboer R.
6-4 7-6
Van Der Meerschen M.
Nijboer R.
6772
Van Der Meerschen M.
4640

Ryan Nijboer won the M15 Madrid final, defeating M. Van Der Meerschen 6-4, 7-6. Nijboer and Van Der Meerschen each hit three aces, with Nijboer committing one double fault to Van Der Meerschen's none. Nijboer converted all his break points and won one service break to Van Der Meerschen's none.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve inΒ·Slight edge
60%
54%
1st serve points wonΒ·Even
73%
70%
2nd serve points wonΒ·Even
52%
53%
Service points wonΒ·Even
64%
62%
Return points wonΒ·Even
39%
41%
Break points savedΒ·Even
59%
61%
Aces / matchΒ·Clear edge
5.0
2.8
Double faults / matchΒ·Dominant
1.6
3.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (11 vs 6). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match Β· updated 07:50 UTC
Nijboer R.68%
Van Der Meerschen M.32%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite Β· Nijboer R. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial Β· surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (βˆ’0.5)
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial Β· surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (βˆ’0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.46 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors β€” matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation β€” into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
FreshnessΒ·
100
β€”

Nijboer R.: 21 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
31Β°CClear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 25%

Draw