Diogo Morais vs Arthur Nagel β€” M25 Casablanca Round of 16

M25 Casablanca Β· ITF Β· Round of 16
#1797ATP
22 yrs
Last 10 Β· pre-match
LWWLLWWLWL
0 β€” 2
Sets
Thursday, 3 September 2026 Β·
clay
#359ATP
23 yrs
Last 10 Β· pre-match
LLWWWWWWWL
Morais D.
3-6 3-6
Nagel A.
Morais D.
330
Nagel A.
662

Arthur Nagel defeated Diogo Morais 6-3, 6-3 in the Round of 16 at the M25 Casablanca tournament on clay. Both players hit one ace, with Nagel committing zero double faults to Morais' one. Nagel converted 17% of break points and won one service break to Morais' zero.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve inΒ·Slight edge
73%
62%
1st serve points wonΒ·Even
64%
67%
2nd serve points wonΒ·Slight edge
44%
39%
Service points wonΒ·Even
59%
56%
Return points wonΒ·Slight edge
44%
36%
Break points savedΒ·Slight edge
62%
53%
Aces / matchΒ·Dominant
0.5
4.6
Double faults / matchΒ·Even
2.8
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (4 vs 5). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match Β· updated 09:50 UTC
Morais D.18%
Nagel A.82%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite Β· Nagel A. heavily favoured

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial Β· surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (βˆ’0.5)
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial Β· surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (βˆ’0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors β€” matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation β€” into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
31Β°COvercast
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 53%

Draw