Yassine Dlimi vs Arthur Nagel β€” M25 Casablanca Quarter-final

M25 Casablanca Β· ITF Β· Quarter-final
#487ATP
23 yrs Β· 191 cm Β· Right-handed
Last 10 Β· pre-match
LWWLWLWLWW
2 β€” 1
Sets
Friday, 4 September 2026 Β·
clay
#359ATP
23 yrs
Last 10 Β· pre-match
LWWWWWWWWL
Dlimi Y.
3-6 6-1 6-2
Nagel A.
Dlimi Y.
3662
Nagel A.
6121

Yassine Dlimi defeated Arthur Nagel in the quarterfinals of the M25 Casablanca tournament on clay, coming back from a set down to win 3-6, 6-1, 6-2. The match saw Dlimi and Nagel post identical numbers in service breaks with 3 each, and neither player converted more than half of their break point chances. Dlimi did not hit an ace, while Nagel had one; Dlimi had one double fault to Nagel's two.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve inΒ·Slight edge
55%
62%
1st serve points wonΒ·Even
69%
67%
2nd serve points wonΒ·Slight edge
50%
39%
Service points wonΒ·Even
60%
56%
Return points wonΒ·Slight edge
45%
36%
Break points savedΒ·Even
54%
53%
Aces / matchΒ·Clear edge
2.8
4.6
Double faults / matchΒ·Slight edge
2.3
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (6 vs 5). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match Β· updated 14:50 UTC
Dlimi Y.50%
Nagel A.50%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up Β· Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial Β· surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (βˆ’0.5)
4.2
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial Β· surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (βˆ’0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors β€” matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation β€” into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
27Β°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 70%

Draw