Gael Monfils faces Learner Tien in the US Open round of 64 on hard. Learner Tien holds the paper edge — ranked #15, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 128.
Clear favourite · Tien L. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (10 vs 30). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Monfils G.: played today · 1 match, 29 games (7d) · Tien L.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 25 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | Montreal | R64 | hard | Learner Tien | 6-3 0-6 6-3 |
Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About