Learner Tien vs Gael MonfilsMontreal Round of 64

Montreal · ATP · Round of 64
#13ATP
1941ELO
1904Hard ELO
$1.9MYTD
$5.0MCAREER
20 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Thursday, 6 August 2026 ·
hard
#254ATP
1803ELO
1784Hard ELO
$419kYTD
$25MCAREER
40 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLLWLW
Tien L.
6-3 0-6 6-3
Monfils G.
Tien L.
6062
Monfils G.
3631

Learner Tien defeated Gael Monfils 6-3, 0-6, 6-3 in the Round of 64 at the Montreal hard-court tournament. Both players hit three aces and had four service breaks, with Tien converting 40% of break points and Monfils converting 31%. Tien and Monfils also had identical numbers of double faults (5-6), and first-serve win percentages (62-66).

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Around the match

  • One last chapter, not on the couch

    Monfils G.ATP Tour

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above. Lines marked “Umpiry summary” are written by Umpiry from the linked article, not quoted from it.

Key context

  • Match story: Learner Tien closed it out in three sets, 6–3 0–6 6–3.

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-09-04US OpenR64hardLearner Tien3-6 4-6 3-6

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
73%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
50%
44%
Service points won·Even
63%
61%
Return points won·Even
39%
36%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
65%
Aces / match·Slight edge
7.7
8.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
4.9
4.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 10). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
91
87
Break points saved·Even
92
96
Break points won·Slight edge
88
79
Deciding sets·Slight edge
99
90
Tiebreaks·Even
99
97

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 23:50 UTC
Tien L.81%
Monfils G.19%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Tien L. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.5+121 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.5Hard Elo 1784
6.7Overall Elo 1941
ELO gap
3.3Overall Elo 1803
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.65 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.93 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
76
100

Tien L.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 39 games (7d) · Monfils G.: 17 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
24°CClear
Wind 2 km/hHumidity 64%

Draw