Learner Tien vs Gael Monfils — Montreal Round of 64

Montreal · ATP · Round of 64
Learner Tien
USA12
Learner Tien
#19ATP
1941ELO
1904Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$4.4MCAREER
20 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
LLWWLLWLWW
—
Sets
Thursday, 6 August 2026 ·
hard
Gael Monfils
FRA
Gael Monfils
#347ATP
1803ELO
1784Hard ELO
39 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLLWLWLWL
Tien L.
vs
Monfils G.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
Tien L.80%
Monfils G.20%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Tien L. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
6 common opponents · Tien L. 5–2 · Monfils G. 2–4
Both lost · different surfaces (Grass × Hard)▾
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Tien L.
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Monfils G.
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.5+121 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.5Hard Elo 1784
6.7Overall Elo 1941
ELO gap
3.3Overall Elo 1803
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.65 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.83 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

30 vs 10 matches

Statistics

This season
Tien L.Monfils G.
1st serve in·Even
61%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
73%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
50%
44%
Service points won·Even
63%
61%
Return points won·Even
39%
36%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
65%
Aces / match·Slight edge
7.7
8.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
4.9
4.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 10). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Tien L.serving84% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Monfils G.

Monfils G.serving77% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Tien L.

Serve advantage — Tien L.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Tien L.Monfils G.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
91
86
Break points saved·Even
92
95
Break points won·Clear edge
88
76
Deciding sets·Slight edge
99
91
Tiebreaks·Even
99
97

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Tien L.Monfils G.
Freshness·Slight edge
95
85

Tien L.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d) · Monfils G.: played today · 1 match, 20 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
24°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 71%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw