Anastasia Potapova vs Leolia JeanjeanUS Open Round of 64

US Open · WTA · Round of 64
#25WTA
25 yrs
Last 10
WWLLLWLLWL
Sets
Thursday, 3 September 2026 ·
hard
#127WTA
1653ELO
1588Hard ELO
31 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLWLWLWWW
Potapova A.
vs
Jeanjean L.

Anastasia Potapova faces Leolia Jeanjean in the US Open round of 64 on hard. Anastasia Potapova holds the paper edge — ranked #25, defending last year's round of 64. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Potapova A.73%
Jeanjean L.27%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Potapova A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
4 common opponents · Potapova A. 2–2 · Jeanjean L. 0–4 · small sample
Potapova A. better · same surface, 39 days apart
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.64 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.24 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
6.0Reached the R64 here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R128 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

26 vs 42 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
55%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
65%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
43%
48%
Service points won·Even
55%
58%
Return points won·Slight edge
47%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
53%
62%
Aces / match·Even
2.7
3.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
5.2
4.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 42). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Potapova A.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Jeanjean L.

Jeanjean L.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Potapova A.

Serve advantage — Potapova A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
56
78
Break points saved·Dominant
35
75
Break points won·Even
94
90
Deciding sets·Slight edge
89
94
Tiebreaks·Dominant
16
67

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
88
80

Potapova A.: played today · 1 match, 16 games (7d) · Jeanjean L.: played today · 1 match, 21 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
28°COvercast
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 80%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw