Matilde Jorge vs Anastasia GasanovaW50 Leiria Round of 16

W50 Leiria · ITF · Round of 16
#300WTA
1449ELO
1442Hard ELO
$76kYTD
$224kCAREER
22 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWLWWW
0 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 3 September 2026 ·
hard
#192WTA
1491ELO
1485Hard ELO
$273kYTD
$757kCAREER
27 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWLLW
Jorge M.
0-6 3-6
Gasanova A.
Jorge M.
030
Gasanova A.
662

Anastasia Gasanova defeated Matilde Jorge 6-0, 6-3 in the Round of 16 at the W50 Leiria tournament. Gasanova hit 0 aces and 1 double fault, while Jorge had 1 ace and 9 double faults. Gasanova converted 38% of her break points and won 6 service breaks, compared to Jorge's 33% conversion rate and 1 service break.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-09-13W50 EvoraFhardMatilde Jorge7-5 6-4

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
44%
Service points won·Even
55%
55%
Return points won·Even
45%
48%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
52%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.6
0.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
4.9
5.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 34). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Jorge M.14%
Gasanova A.86%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Gasanova A. heavily favoured

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.5Hard Elo 1442
Surface ELO
5.5+42 Hard Elo edge
4.5Overall Elo 1448
ELO gap
5.5Overall Elo 1491
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.85 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.06 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Gasanova A.: 20 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
33°CClear
Wind 2 km/hHumidity 45%

Draw