Chloe Paquet vs Valeriya StrakhovaW50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer Round of 32

W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer · ITF · Round of 32
#293WTA
1479ELO
1456Clay ELO
32 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWLLWL
1 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 2 September 2026 ·
clay
#542WTA
1179ELO
1199Clay ELO
31 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWWWLLL
Paquet C.
6-3 1-6 3-6
Strakhova V.
Paquet C.
6131
Strakhova V.
3662

Valeriya Strakhova defeated Chloe Paquet 3-6, 6-1, 6-3 in the Round of 32 at the W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer. Strakhova and Paquet each hit one double fault and one ace. Strakhova converted 44 percent of her break points and won seven service breaks to Paquet's five.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-07-19HamburgSFclayChloe Paquet3-6 6-4 2-6

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
63%
58%
2nd serve points won·Even
43%
46%
Service points won·Even
55%
53%
Return points won·Even
44%
46%
Break points saved·Even
52%
52%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.5
0.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.0
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (41 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
0
2
Break points saved·Even
5
1
Break points won·Dominant
6
86
Deciding sets·Clear edge
0
19
Tiebreaks·

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Paquet C.79%
Strakhova V.21%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Paquet C. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
3.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.2+257 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.8Clay Elo 1198
8.8Overall Elo 1479
ELO gap
1.2Overall Elo 1179
7.8Leads 2–0 on clay
H2H
2.2Trails 0–2 on clay
4.45 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
2.63 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
22°COvercast
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 61%

Draw