Valeriya Strakhova vs Chloe Paquet — Hamburg Qualifying Semi-final

Hamburg · WTA · Qualifying Semi-final
UKR
Valeriya Strakhova
#571WTA
1179ELO
1199Clay ELO
31 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWWLLL
1 — 2
Sets
Sunday, 19 July 2026 ·
clay
M2 · 3rd on
Chloe Paquet
FRA12
Chloe Paquet
#301WTA
1479ELO
1456Clay ELO
32 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWLWWL
Strakhova V.
3-6 6-4 2-6
Paquet C.
Strakhova V.
3621
Paquet C.
6462

Chloe Paquet defeated Valeriya Strakhova 6-3, 4-6, 6-2 in the Hamburg semifinals. Paquet hit 8 aces and 8 double faults, winning 65% of her first serves and converting 57% of her break points. She won 8 service breaks to Strakhova's 6.

Key context

  • Match story: Chloe Paquet closed it out in three sets, 6–3 4–6 6–2.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Strakhova V.Paquet C.
1st serve in·Even
58%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
59%
64%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
46%
40%
Service points won·Even
54%
55%
Return points won·Slight edge
47%
41%
Break points saved·Even
53%
53%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.1
2.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.3
5.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (18 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Strakhova V.Paquet C.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
2
8
Break points saved·Dominant
1
51
Break points won·Clear edge
86
69
Deciding sets·Clear edge
19
0
Tiebreaks·
—
29

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC
Strakhova V.14%
Paquet C.86%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Paquet C. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Strakhova V.
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Paquet C.
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.8Clay Elo 1198
Surface ELO
8.2+257 Clay Elo edge
1.2Overall Elo 1179
ELO gap
8.8Overall Elo 1479
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
2.02 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.76 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Strakhova V.Paquet C.
Freshness·Slight edge
92
83

Strakhova V.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 27 games (7d) · Paquet C.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 54 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
18°CShowers
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 65%

Draw