Elmer Moller vs Maks KasnikowskiManacor Round of 32

Manacor · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#170ATP
1609ELO
1484Hard ELO
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWWWLW
1 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 2 September 2026 ·
hard
Pista 4 · 1st on
#253ATP
1400ELO
1369Hard ELO
23 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWWWLL
Moller E.
2-6 6-4 4-6
Kasnikowski M.
Moller E.
2641
Kasnikowski M.
6462

Maks Kasnikowski defeated Elmer Moller in the Round of 32 at the Manacor hard-court tournament. The match ended with a score of 6-2, 4-6, 6-4 in favor of Kasnikowski. Key stats included Kasnikowski's 4 aces and 3 double faults compared to Moller's 2 aces and 6 double faults; Kasnikowski converted 55% of break points to Moller's 36%, and Kasnikowski achieved 6 service breaks to Moller's 4.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
57%
60%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
61%
73%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
45%
56%
Service points won·Clear edge
54%
66%
Return points won·Even
39%
40%
Break points saved·Even
55%
58%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.8
4.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
6.4
1.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (16 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
69
14
Break points saved·Dominant
81
56
Break points won·Dominant
58
16
Deciding sets·Dominant
81
19
Tiebreaks·Dominant
82
38

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC
Moller E.33%
Kasnikowski M.67%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Kasnikowski M. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.4+115 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.6Hard Elo 1369
7.6Overall Elo 1609
ELO gap
2.4Overall Elo 1400
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.74 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.36 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
91
92

Moller E.: 8 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Kasnikowski M.: 8 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
30°CMainly clear
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 57%

Draw