Valentina Ivanov vs Matilde Jorge — W50 Leiria Round of 32

W50 Leiria · ITF · Round of 32

NZLQ

Valentina Ivanov

#480WTA

25 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

WWLWLWLWWL

—

Sets

Wednesday, 2 September 2026 · 17:47

hard

POR

Matilde Jorge

#297WTA

1449ELO

1442Hard ELO

22 yrs · Right-handed

Last 10

LWWWLLLLLW

Ivanov V.

Jorge M.

Valentina Ivanov faces Matilde Jorge in the W50 Leiria round of 32 on hard. Matilde Jorge is the paper favourite — ranked #297 — but Valentina Ivanov rides a 3-match win streak.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC

Ivanov V.35%

Jorge M.65%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Jorge M. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Form trend: Matilde Jorge's form has been trending up over recent weeks, while Valentina Ivanov's has cooled.
Win streak: Valentina Ivanov arrives on a 3-match winning run.

Common opponents

Last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months.

Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Ivanov V.

6.2

Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited

Jorge M.

5.7

Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited

Form & Matchup

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

8.69 of last 10 on hard

Surface form

4.85 of last 10 on hard

7.03-match win streak

Win streak

0.0

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

44 vs 30 matches

Statistics

This season

Ivanov V.Jorge M.

1st serve in·Slight edge

68%

60%

1st serve points won·Even

59%

61%

2nd serve points won·Slight edge

39%

47%

Service points won·Even

53%

55%

Return points won·Slight edge

52%

45%

Break points saved·Even

54%

58%

Aces / match·Slight edge

0.8

1.6

Double faults / match·Clear edge

5.9

4.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (44 vs 30). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

Ivanov V.serving46% hold

wins 48% of points on serve vs Jorge M.

Jorge M.serving34% hold

wins 43% of points on serve vs Ivanov V.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Conditions

Weather forecast

26°CClear

Wind 11 km/hHumidity 60%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.