Ryan Nijboer vs M. Arce Fernandez β€” M15 Madrid Round of 32

M15 Madrid Β· ITF Β· Round of 32
#532ATP
27 yrs Β· 180 cm Β· Right-handed
Last 10 Β· pre-match
WWWWWWLWLW
2 β€” 1
Sets
Wednesday, 2 September 2026 Β·
clay
#1721ATP
20 yrs
Last 10 Β· pre-match
LWWWWLWWWW
Nijboer R.
4-6 6-2 6-3
Arce Fernandez M.
Nijboer R.
4662
Arce Fernandez M.
6231

Ryan Nijboer defeated M. Arce Fernandez in the Round of 32 of the M15 Madrid tournament on clay, coming back from a set down to win 4-6, 6-2, 6-3. Nijboer hit 9 aces to Arce Fernandez's 0 and won 3 service breaks to his opponent's 1. He converted 33% of his break points, while Arce Fernandez converted 50%.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve inΒ·Slight edge
60%
69%
1st serve points wonΒ·Slight edge
73%
68%
2nd serve points wonΒ·Even
52%
49%
Service points wonΒ·Even
64%
62%
Return points wonΒ·Even
39%
40%
Break points savedΒ·Slight edge
59%
67%
Aces / matchΒ·Clear edge
5.0
2.2
Double faults / matchΒ·Clear edge
1.6
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (11 vs 6). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match Β· updated 09:50 UTC
Nijboer R.84%
Arce Fernandez M.16%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite Β· Nijboer R. heavily favoured

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial Β· surface data limited
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial Β· surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (βˆ’0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.46 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
0.0
Win streak
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors β€” matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation β€” into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
FreshnessΒ·
100
β€”

Nijboer R.: 21 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
34Β°CClear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 17%

Draw