Yusuke Takahashi vs Chase FergusonM25 Urayasu Round of 32

M25 Urayasu · ITF · Round of 32
#688ATP
1268ELO
1243Hard ELO
28 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWW
1 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 2 September 2026 ·
hard
#640ATP
27 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLW
Takahashi Y.
6-4 1-6 6-7
Ferguson C.
Takahashi Y.
61611
Ferguson C.
46772

Chase Ferguson defeated Yusuke Takahashi in the Round of 32 at the M25 Urayasu tournament. The match ended with a score of 4-6, 6-1, 7-6 in favor of Ferguson. Ferguson and Takahashi recorded equal aces at 4 each, while Ferguson had 1 double fault to Takahashi's 3; Ferguson converted 43% of break points to Takahashi's 22%, and secured 3 service breaks to Takahashi's 2.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
71%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
52%
Service points won·Even
61%
62%
Return points won·Even
37%
38%
Break points saved·Even
61%
64%
Aces / match·Even
2.6
2.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.7
1.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (18 vs 9). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 03:50 UTC
Takahashi Y.58%
Ferguson C.42%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.74 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.43 of last 6 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
30°CClear
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 75%

Draw