Yassine Smiej vs Yaroslav Demin β€” M25 Casablanca Round of 32

M25 Casablanca Β· ITF Β· Round of 32
#1243ATP
26 yrs
Last 10 Β· pre-match
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0 β€” 2
Sets
Wednesday, 2 September 2026 Β·
clay
#669ATP
21 yrs Β· 185 cm Β· Right-handed
Last 10 Β· pre-match
LWLWWLLLWW
Smiej Y.
6-7 4-6
Demin Y.
Smiej Y.
6040
Demin Y.
7762

Yaroslav Demin defeated Yassine Smiej in the Round of 32 at the M25 Casablanca tournament on clay, winning 7-6, 6-4. Demin served one ace and did not commit a double fault, while Smiej had no aces and four double faults. Demin converted 50% of his break points and won four service breaks, compared to Smiej's three service breaks and 33% break point conversion rate.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve inΒ·Slight edge
69%
61%
1st serve points wonΒ·Slight edge
59%
65%
2nd serve points wonΒ·Clear edge
30%
44%
Service points wonΒ·Slight edge
50%
57%
Return points wonΒ·Even
40%
42%
Break points savedΒ·Dominant
32%
64%
Aces / matchΒ·Even
1.0
0.7
Double faults / matchΒ·Dominant
4.0
9.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (4 vs 3). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match Β· updated 10:50 UTC
Smiej Y.40%
Demin Y.60%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge Β· Demin Y. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial Β· surface data limited
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial Β· surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
3.32 of last 8 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
6.0Hard β†’ Clay
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors β€” matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation β€” into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
27Β°COvercast
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 68%

Draw