Niklas Schell vs Yaroslav Demin — M25 Casablanca Round of 16
M25 Casablanca · ITF · Round of 16
0 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 3 September 2026 ·
clay
Schell N.4-6 2-6
Demin Y.
Schell N.
420
Demin Y.
662
Yaroslav Demin advanced to the quarterfinals of the M25 Casablanca tournament, defeating Niklas Schell in the Round of 16. Demin won the match 6-4, 6-2, converting one of three break points and securing one service break. He hit five aces to Schell's three.
Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.
Key context
- Match story: Yaroslav Demin dropped just 6 games past Niklas Schell.
Head to head
0–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-09 | M15 Sharm ElSheikh 11 | R32 | hard | Yaroslav Demin | 6-3 7-6(3) |
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Even
58%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
71%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
44%
Service points won·Even
61%
57%
Return points won·Slight edge
31%
42%
Break points saved·Clear edge
52%
64%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.8
0.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.8
9.3
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (4 vs 3). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTCSchell N.34%
Demin Y.66%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Slight edge · Demin Y. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchForm & Matchup
5.0First meeting on clay
H2H5.0First meeting on clay
3.13 of last 10 on clay
Surface form3.32 of last 8 on clay
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak0.0Lost last 3
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Weather
31°COvercast
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 53%