Matic Hribar vs Luca Castagnola β€” M15 Bologna Round of 32

M15 Bologna Β· ITF Β· Round of 32
19 yrs
Last 10 Β· pre-match
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0 β€” 2
Sets
Wednesday, 2 September 2026 Β·
clay
#793ATP
24 yrs Β· 183 cm Β· Right-handed
Last 10 Β· pre-match
LLLWWLLWLW
Hribar M.
2-6 4-6
Castagnola L.
Hribar M.
240
Castagnola L.
662

Luca Castagnola defeated Matic Hribar in the Round of 32 at the M15 Bologna tournament on clay, winning 6-2, 6-4. Castagnola hit two aces and no double faults, while Hribar had one ace and five double faults. Castagnola converted 57% of his break points and won four service breaks to Hribar's one.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve inΒ·Slight edge
59%
67%
1st serve points wonΒ·Even
66%
62%
2nd serve points wonΒ·Even
45%
49%
Service points wonΒ·Even
57%
58%
Return points wonΒ·Slight edge
40%
45%
Break points savedΒ·Even
43%
47%
Aces / matchΒ·Even
1.5
1.7
Double faults / matchΒ·Clear edge
4.5
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (4 vs 15). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match Β· updated 07:50 UTC
Hribar M.30%
Castagnola L.70%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite Β· Castagnola L. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial Β· surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (βˆ’0.5)
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial Β· surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
2.93 of last 10 on clay
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors β€” matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation β€” into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
FreshnessΒ·
β€”
85

Castagnola L.: 3 days rest Β· 1 match, 27 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
31Β°CClear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 38%

Draw