Alex Molcan vs Benjamin BonziUS Open Round of 128

US Open · ATP · Round of 128
#86ATP
1742ELO
1653Hard ELO
28 yrs · 178 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLWWWL
1 — 3
Sets
Wednesday, 2 September 2026 ·
hard
Court 13 · 3rd on
#97ATP
1749ELO
1713Hard ELO
30 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWW
Molcan A.
4-6 6-3 3-6 2-6
Bonzi B.
Molcan A.
46321
Bonzi B.
63663

Benjamin Bonzi defeated Alex Molcan in the Round of 128 at the US Open. The match ended with a score of 6-4, 3-6, 6-3, 6-2 in favor of Bonzi. Bonzi hit one ace and zero double faults, while Molcan had zero aces and one double fault; neither player converted a break point or had a service break.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

  • Match story: Benjamin Bonzi closed it out in four sets, 6–4 3–6 6–3 6–2.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
55%
Service points won·Even
63%
66%
Return points won·Slight edge
39%
34%
Break points saved·Even
65%
64%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.5
5.3
Double faults / match·Even
1.7
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (34 vs 29). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
72
27
Break points saved·Slight edge
88
94
Break points won·Clear edge
41
17
Deciding sets·Dominant
95
6
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
94
84

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 21:50 UTC
Molcan A.48%
Bonzi B.52%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.2Hard Elo 1652
Surface ELO
5.8+60 Hard Elo edge
4.9Overall Elo 1742
ELO gap
5.1Overall Elo 1749
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.14 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.36 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
6.0Clay → Hard
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R32 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
79
69

Molcan A.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 53 games (7d) · Bonzi B.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 90 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
22°COvercast
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 90%

Draw