Madison Keys vs Alina Korneeva — US Open Round of 128
USA22
Keys M.
Madison Keys defeated Alina Korneeva in the Round of 128 at the US Open. The match ended with a score of 7-5, 6-4 in favor of Keys. Keys served 4 aces and committed 5 double faults, while converting 62% of her break points and securing 6 service breaks, compared to Korneeva's 0 aces, 0 double faults, 67% break point conversion, and 4 service breaks.
Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.
Key context
- Match story: Madison Keys edged Alina Korneeva in two tight sets (7–5 6–4).
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 36). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Keys M. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadKeys M.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d) · Korneeva A.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About