Jesper De Jong vs Francesco PassaroUS Open Round of 128

US Open · ATP · Round of 128
#100ATP
1711ELO
1607Hard ELO
26 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLLLWL
3 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 1 September 2026 ·
hard
Court 10 · 2nd on
#207ATP
1592ELO
1562Hard ELO
25 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLWWLLL
De Jong J.
2-6 6-2 4-6 6-3 6-2
Passaro F.
De Jong J.
264663
Passaro F.
626322

Jesper De Jong defeated Francesco Passaro in the Round of 128 at the US Open. The match ended with a score of 2-6, 6-2, 4-6, 6-3, 6-2 in favor of De Jong. De Jong hit 14 aces and committed 15 double faults, while converting 37% of break points and securing 7 service breaks, compared to Passaro's 8 aces, 7 double faults, 42% break point conversion, and 5 service breaks.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-26Roland GarrosR128clayJesper De Jong3-6 6-7 6-4 7-6 6-1

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
69%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
47%
52%
Service points won·Even
62%
63%
Return points won·Even
38%
37%
Break points saved·Even
59%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
7.8
4.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.2
1.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 11). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
38
22
Break points saved·Dominant
80
53
Break points won·Clear edge
19
2
Deciding sets·Clear edge
70
46
Tiebreaks·Dominant
32
85

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 20:50 UTC
De Jong J.55%
Passaro F.45%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.6+45 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.4Hard Elo 1562
6.5Overall Elo 1711
ELO gap
3.5Overall Elo 1592
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
2.42 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.57 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Context
6.0Reached the R128 here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R128 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
75
67

De Jong J.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 40 games (7d) · Passaro F.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 29 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
24°COvercast
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 91%

Draw