Nishesh Basavareddy vs Tristan SchoolkateUS Open Round of 128

US Open · ATP · Round of 128
#163ATP
1722ELO
1681Hard ELO
$365kYTD
$1.5MCAREER
21 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWLLWLLWW
Sets
Sunday, 30 August 2026 ·
hard
#180ATP
1549ELO
1514Hard ELO
$250kYTD
$1.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWLWLWWLL
Basavareddy N.
vs
Schoolkate T.

Nishesh Basavareddy faces Tristan Schoolkate in the US Open round of 128 on hard. Nishesh Basavareddy holds the paper edge — ranked #163, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 128. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC
Basavareddy N.74%
Schoolkate T.26%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Basavareddy N. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
3 common opponents · Basavareddy N. 3–0 · Schoolkate T. 2–1 · small sample
Basavareddy N. better · same surface · ⚠ lower-tier event
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.1+166 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.9Hard Elo 1514
7.2Overall Elo 1722
ELO gap
2.8Overall Elo 1549
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
7.17 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.76 of last 10 on hard
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
6.0Reached the R128 here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R64 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

27 vs 31 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
56%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
52%
Service points won·Even
64%
65%
Return points won·Even
40%
36%
Break points saved·Slight edge
67%
61%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.8
7.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.3
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Basavareddy N.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Schoolkate T.

Schoolkate T.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Basavareddy N.

Serve advantage — Basavareddy N.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
76
46
Break points saved·Even
90
90
Break points won·Dominant
49
0
Deciding sets·Slight edge
93
85
Tiebreaks·Dominant
92
33

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
66
55

Basavareddy N.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 66 games (7d) · Schoolkate T.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 75 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
26°COvercast
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 79%

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-08-17Winston-SalemQ2hardNishesh Basavareddy6-4 6-3

Draw