Liam Draxl vs Tristan Schoolkate

US Open · ATP · Qualifying Round of 32

CAN

Liam Draxl

#217ATP

1592ELO

1565Hard ELO

$201kYTD

$642kCAREER

24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

WWLLLWWWWL

1 — 2

Sets

Friday, 28 August 2026 · 12:05

hard

Court 16 · 1st on

AUS

Tristan Schoolkate

#180ATP

1549ELO

1514Hard ELO

$250kYTD

$1.5MCAREER

25 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

WWLWLWWLLL

Draxl L.

6-4 5-7 6-7

Schoolkate T.

Draxl L.

656⁷1

Schoolkate T.

477⁹2

Tristan Schoolkate defeated Liam Draxl in the second round of US Open qualifying, 4-6, 7-5, 7-6. The match saw Schoolkate hit 7 aces and 6 double faults, while Draxl had 12 aces and 6 double faults. Both players converted 4 service breaks, with Schoolkate winning 69% of his first serves and Draxl winning 70%.

Key context

Match story: Tristan Schoolkate dropped the opening set before beating Liam Draxl 4–6 7–5 7–6.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season

Draxl L.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Schoolkate T.

Schoolkate T.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Draxl L.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Draxl L.Schoolkate T.

Serve

Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season

Draxl L.Schoolkate T.

1st serve in·Even

64%

62%

1st serve points won·Slight edge

68%

73%

2nd serve points won·Slight edge

47%

52%

Service points won·Slight edge

60%

65%

Return points won·Even

40%

36%

Break points saved·Slight edge

56%

61%

Aces / match·Clear edge

4.6

7.3

Double faults / match·Slight edge

2.8

3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (28 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure

Draxl L.Schoolkate T.

Clutch Rating·Clear edge

Break points saved·Slight edge

Break points won·Dominant

Deciding sets·Slight edge

Tiebreaks·Dominant

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC

Draxl L.49%

Schoolkate T.51%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Draxl L.

5.6

Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Schoolkate T.

5.2

Clear underdogUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Form & Matchup

5.6+51 Hard Elo edge

Surface ELO

4.4Hard Elo 1514

5.5Overall Elo 1592

ELO gap

4.5Overall Elo 1549

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

6.06 of last 10 on hard

Surface form

5.85 of last 10 on hard

Fatigue & Travel

7.01 three-setter in 14 days

3-set count

4.02 three-setters in 14 days

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

6.0Reached the R64 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load

Draxl L.Schoolkate T.

Freshness·Even

Draxl L.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 86 games (7d) · Schoolkate T.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 75 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed

Medium-fastrewards aggression

SlowFast

Weather

27°CMainly clear

Wind 8 km/hHumidity 61%

Liam Draxl vs Tristan Schoolkate — US Open Qualifying Round of 32

Key context

Head to head

Serve vs return

Serve & return on hard

Statistics

Clutch

Win Probability

Umpiry Score

Freshness

Conditions

Draw

Serve vs return

Serve & return on hard