Clara Tauson vs Diane ParryMonterrey Quarter-final

Monterrey · WTA · Quarter-final
#42WTA
1802ELO
1775Hard ELO
$911kYTD
$5.3MCAREER
23 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWLLLWWW
0 — 2
Sets
Friday, 28 August 2026 ·
hard
#50WTA
1747ELO
1653Hard ELO
$515kYTD
$3.8MCAREER
23 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWWWLLL
Tauson C.
3-6 5-7
Parry D.
Tauson C.
350
Parry D.
672

Diane Parry advanced to the semifinals of the Monterrey quarterfinals by defeating Clara Tauson 6-3, 7-5. Parry hit 9 aces to Tauson's 2 and converted all her break points, while Tauson converted only 1 of 4. Parry won 85% of her first-serve points to Tauson's 71%, and she secured 3 service breaks to Tauson's 1.

Around the match

  • Parry mounted a comeback from 5-3 down in the second set to defeat Tauson and advance in Monterrey.

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

  • Match story: Diane Parry closed it out in two sets, 6–3 7–5.

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-06-16BerlinR32grassDiane Parry3-6 4-6
2024-10-14OsakaQFhardDiane Parry6-3 1-6 6-3

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
43%
45%
Service points won·Even
59%
59%
Return points won·Even
42%
41%
Break points saved·Even
58%
59%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.1
3.9
Double faults / match·Even
3.4
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 36). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
72
44
Break points saved·Dominant
76
45
Break points won·Dominant
91
21
Deciding sets·Clear edge
64
84
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
72
66

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 00:50 UTC
Tauson C.61%
Parry D.39%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Tauson C. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.5+123 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.5Hard Elo 1653
5.7Overall Elo 1802
ELO gap
4.3Overall Elo 1747
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
6.06 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.66 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
57
50

Tauson C.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 77 games (7d) · Parry D.: played today · 4 matches, 97 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
30°CClear
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 48%

Draw