Clara Tauson vs Diane ParryBerlin Round of 32

Berlin · WTA · Round of 32
#24WTA
1805ELO
1670Grass ELO
$738kYTD
$5.2MCAREER
23 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLLLWLWWW
Sets
Tuesday, 16 June 2026 ·
grass
#55WTA
1720ELO
1658Grass ELO
23 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLWWWLWWW
Tauson C.
vs
Parry D.

Clara Tauson faces Diane Parry in the Berlin round of 32 on grass. Clara Tauson is the paper favourite — ranked #24 — but Diane Parry has won their only previous meeting, though none on grass.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 20:20 UTC
Tauson C.60%
Parry D.40%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Tauson C. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.2+12 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.8Grass Elo 1658
5.6Overall Elo 1805
ELO gap
4.4Overall Elo 1720
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
5.66 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
8.38 of last 10 on grass
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Tauson C.Stable
Parry D.Rising

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

13 vs 24 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
69%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
40%
46%
Service points won·Even
60%
59%
Return points won·Even
42%
41%
Break points saved·Even
57%
53%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.1
4.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.1
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (13 vs 24). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Tauson C.serving87% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Parry D.

Parry D.serving84% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Tauson C.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
71
71
Break points saved·Slight edge
93
84
Break points won·Dominant
93
66
Deciding sets·Dominant
53
82
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
79
89

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
95
99

Tauson C.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d) · Parry D.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-10-14OsakaQFhardDiane Parry6-3 1-6 6-3
R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final