Julieta Pareja vs Lucrezia StefaniniUS Open Qualifying Round of 64

US Open · WTA · Qualifying Round of 64
#284WTA
1506ELO
1452Hard ELO
17 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWLWWWW
0 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 27 August 2026 ·
hard
Court 12 · 1st on
#119WTA
1527ELO
1497Hard ELO
28 yrs · 164 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWWLLWL
Pareja J.
4-6 3-6
Stefanini L.
Pareja J.
430
Stefanini L.
662

Lucrezia Stefanini defeated Julieta Pareja 6-4, 6-3 in the second round of US Open qualifying. Stefanini converted 71 percent of her break points and won 58 percent of her first-serve points. Stefanini won five service breaks to Pareja's three.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-08-21US OpenQ64hardJulieta Pareja7-6(4) 1-6 6-4

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
76%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
62%
54%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
44%
Service points won·Slight edge
57%
52%
Return points won·Even
45%
47%
Break points saved·Clear edge
65%
52%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.4
0.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.6
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (14 vs 34). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Pareja J.60%
Stefanini L.40%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Pareja J. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.4Hard Elo 1452
Surface ELO
5.6+46 Hard Elo edge
4.7Overall Elo 1506
ELO gap
5.3Overall Elo 1527
7.8Leads 2–0 on hard
H2H
2.2Trails 0–2 on hard
6.46 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.66 of last 10 on hard
Context
6.0Reached the R128 here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
77
76

Pareja J.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 53 games (7d) · Stefanini L.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 53 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
23°CRain
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 87%

Draw