Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Mitchell KruegerKingston 2 Round of 32

Kingston 2 · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#589ATP
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLLWWLWLW
Sets
Tuesday, 25 August 2026 ·
hard
Court 1 · 3rd on
#356ATP
1461ELO
1436Hard ELO
32 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLWWLLLLL
Gonzalez Fernandez M.
vs
Krueger M.

Mario Gonzalez Fernandez faces Mitchell Krueger in the Kingston 2 round of 32 on hard. Mitchell Krueger is the paper favourite — ranked #356 — but Mario Gonzalez Fernandez arrives in form, winning 5 of their last 8 on hard to Mitchell Krueger's 3.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:50 UTC
Gonzalez Fernandez M.54%
Krueger M.46%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.45 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
1.41 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

12 vs 18 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
62%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
47%
Service points won·Even
58%
61%
Return points won·Even
39%
37%
Break points saved·Even
57%
57%
Aces / match·Even
1.8
2.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.3
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (12 vs 18). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Gonzalez Fernandez M.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Krueger M.

Krueger M.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Gonzalez Fernandez M.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
76

Gonzalez Fernandez M.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 38 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

When it starts

3rd on Court 1 · not before Followed By · 1 match still to finish ahead

  1. 1Poling K. v Fancutt T.
    6-46-3
  2. 2Kim A. v Johns G.Live
    7-60-0
  3. 3Gonzalez Fernandez M. v Krueger M.This match

Conditions

Weather forecast
22°CClear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 66%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw