Pietro Fellin vs Miguel TobonKingston 2 Round of 32

Kingston 2 · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#539ATP
1322ELO
1304Hard ELO
25 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWWLWWWWW
Sets
Tuesday, 25 August 2026 ·
hard
Centre Court · 3rd on
#449ATP
1328ELO
1301Hard ELO
20 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWLLLLLLW
Fellin P.
vs
Tobon M.

Pietro Fellin faces Miguel Tobon in the Kingston 2 round of 32 on hard. Miguel Tobon holds the paper edge — ranked #449.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Fellin P.54%
Tobon M.46%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.0+3 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
5.0Hard Elo 1301
4.9Overall Elo 1322
ELO gap
5.1Overall Elo 1328
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.14 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.75 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

22 vs 21 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
57%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
66%
73%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
54%
Service points won·Slight edge
60%
65%
Return points won·Even
41%
40%
Break points saved·Even
57%
56%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.3
5.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.4
3.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Fellin P.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Tobon M.

Tobon M.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Fellin P.

Serve advantage — Tobon M.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
97
81

Fellin P.: 9 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Tobon M.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

When it starts

3rd on Centre Court · not before Followed By · 2 matches still to finish ahead

  1. 1Brouwer G. v Martin A.
  2. 2Chopra K. v Bigun K.
  3. 3Fellin P. v Tobon M.This match
  4. 4Ficovich J. v Zhu E.

Conditions

Weather forecast
21°CClear
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 69%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw