Juan Pablo Ficovich vs Miguel TobonKingston 2 Round of 16

Kingston 2 · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#380ATP
1415ELO
1419Hard ELO
$100kYTD
$984kCAREER
29 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLLLLLLLW
0 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 26 August 2026 ·
hard
Centre Court · 2nd on
#510ATP
1328ELO
1301Hard ELO
20 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLLLLL
Ficovich J.
3-6 1-6
Tobon M.
Ficovich J.
310
Tobon M.
662

Miguel Tobon advanced to the quarterfinals of the Kingston 2 tournament with a straight-sets victory over Juan Pablo Ficovich in the Round of 16. Tobon won 6-3, 6-1, converting 57% of his break points and securing four service breaks. He hit one ace and three double faults in the match.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
57%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
54%
Service points won·Even
62%
65%
Return points won·Even
38%
40%
Break points saved·Even
59%
56%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.7
5.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.4
3.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 18:50 UTC
Ficovich J.46%
Tobon M.54%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
6.5+118 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.5Hard Elo 1301
6.1Overall Elo 1415
ELO gap
3.9Overall Elo 1328
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
3.94 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.25 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
75
70

Ficovich J.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 47 games (7d) · Tobon M.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 49 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
23°CClear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 77%

Draw