Cezar Cretu vs Niels Mcdonald — Augsburg Round of 32
Cretu C.
Cezar Cretu faces Niels Mcdonald in the Augsburg round of 32 on clay. Cezar Cretu is the paper favourite — ranked #266, a roughly 130-point clay Elo advantage — but Niels Mcdonald arrives in form, winning 5 of their last 10 on clay to Cezar Cretu's 3.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 18:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Cretu C. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Form trend: Form trajectories diverge: Niels Mcdonald rising, Cezar Cretu cooling.
- Freshness: Cezar Cretu comes in with 5 days of rest and 70 games in 14d, vs Niels Mcdonald's 10 and 70.
- Surface form: Cezar Cretu 3 of 10, Niels Mcdonald 5 of 10 on clay recently — Niels Mcdonald the sharper of late.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (13 vs 5). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadCretu C.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 41 games (7d) · Mcdonald N.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About
When it starts
2nd on CENTRE COURT · not before Followed By · 1 match still to finish ahead
- 1Brunclik P. v Masur D.
- 2Cretu C. v Mcdonald N.This match
- 3Mena F. v Hans Rehberg M.
- 4Moeller M. v Faurel T.
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.