Raphael Perot vs Mika BrunoldAugsburg Round of 32

Augsburg · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#353ATP
1268ELO
1261Clay ELO
25 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 25 August 2026 ·
clay
Court 2 · 1st on
#423ATP
1466ELO
1407Clay ELO
21 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWLWLWW
Perot R.
6-3 6-4
Brunold M.
Perot R.
662
Brunold M.
340

Raphael Perot defeated Mika Brunold in the Round of 32 of the Augsburg tournament on clay, winning 6-3, 6-4. Perot hit one ace and one double fault, while Brunold also had one ace but two double faults. Perot converted 50% of his break points and made two service breaks, compared to Brunold's four service breaks and 67% break point conversion rate.

Key context

  • Match story: Mika Brunold closed it out in two sets, 3–6 4–6.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
63%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
46%
56%
Service points won·Even
58%
61%
Return points won·Even
40%
40%
Break points saved·Even
56%
57%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.8
2.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.5
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (16 vs 14). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
Perot R.35%
Brunold M.65%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Brunold M. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
3.2Clay Elo 1261
Surface ELO
6.8+145 Clay Elo edge
2.5Overall Elo 1268
ELO gap
7.5Overall Elo 1466
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.35 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
7.17 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
95
61

Perot R.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d) · Brunold M.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 110 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
16°CRain
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 80%

Draw