Sandro Kopp vs Mika Brunold — Augsburg Round of 16

Augsburg · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
AUT8
Sandro Kopp
#280ATP
1437ELO
1428Clay ELO
26 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWLLWWWWL
—
Sets
Wednesday, 26 August 2026 ·
clay
SUIQ
Mika Brunold
#423ATP
1466ELO
1407Clay ELO
21 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWLWWLWLW
Kopp S.
vs
Brunold M.

Sandro Kopp faces Mika Brunold in the Augsburg round of 16 on clay. Sandro Kopp is the paper favourite — ranked #280, a roughly 20-point clay Elo advantage — but Mika Brunold rides a 3-match win streak. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:50 UTC
Kopp S.63%
Brunold M.37%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Kopp S. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Under pressure: In the tight moments, Mika Brunold has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 24 vs 4).
  • Fatigue load: Sandro Kopp carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 1 in the past fortnight.
  • Win streak: Mika Brunold arrives on a 3-match winning run.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Kopp S.
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Brunold M.
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.3+21 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.7Clay Elo 1407
4.6Overall Elo 1437
ELO gap
5.4Overall Elo 1466
5.0First meeting on clay
H2H
5.0First meeting on clay
5.05 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
7.47 of last 10 on clay
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

24 vs 14 matches

Statistics

This season
Kopp S.Brunold M.
1st serve in·Slight edge
71%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
55%
56%
Service points won·Even
65%
61%
Return points won·Even
37%
40%
Break points saved·Even
58%
57%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.5
2.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.6
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 14). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Kopp S.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Brunold M.

Brunold M.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Kopp S.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Kopp S.Brunold M.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
4
24
Break points saved·Slight edge
64
72
Break points won·Even
16
15
Deciding sets·Even
5
3
Tiebreaks·Dominant
2
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Kopp S.Brunold M.
Freshness·Even
62
61

Kopp S.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 96 games (7d) · Brunold M.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 110 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather forecast
24°CPartly cloudy
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 64%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw