Mattia Bellucci vs Luciano DarderiWinston-Salem Round of 32

Winston-Salem · ATP · Round of 32
#96ATP
1720ELO
1678Hard ELO
$597kYTD
$2.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 175 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLLLWWWL
1 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 25 August 2026 ·
hard
Stadium Court · 1st on
#22ATP
1835ELO
1678Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$4.7MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLLWW
Bellucci M.
6-2 4-6 2-6
Darderi L.
Bellucci M.
6421
Darderi L.
2662

Luciano Darderi defeated Mattia Bellucci in the Round of 16 at the Winston-Salem tournament. The match ended with a score of 6-2, 4-6, 6-2 in favor of Darderi. Darderi hit 2 aces and 5 double faults, while Bellucci had 8 aces and 3 double faults; Darderi won 3 service breaks to Bellucci's 2.

Key context

Head to head

22
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-30MarrakechR16clayLuciano Darderi6-4 6-2
2023-01-16Australian OpenQ3hardMattia Bellucci6-4 6-1
2023-01-12Australian OpenQ32hardMattia Bellucci6-4 6-1
2019-09-30M25 Santa Margherita Di Pula 10Q32clayLuciano Darderi6-1 6-2

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
52%
Service points won·Even
65%
63%
Return points won·Even
36%
37%
Break points saved·Even
61%
60%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.6
6.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.9
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (36 vs 37). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
39
67
Break points saved·Slight edge
95
89
Break points won·Clear edge
4
22
Deciding sets·Dominant
47
96
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
80
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Bellucci M.44%
Darderi L.56%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.0Hard Elo 1678
Surface ELO
5.0+0 Hard Elo edge
3.6Overall Elo 1720
ELO gap
6.4Overall Elo 1834
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
6.77 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.04 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
76
81

Bellucci M.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 56 games (7d) · Darderi L.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 39 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
29°CClear
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 40%

Draw