Mattia Bellucci vs Luciano DarderiAustralian Open Qualifying Final

Australian Open · ATP · Qualifying Final
#80ATP
1720ELO
1678Hard ELO
$587kYTD
$2.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 175 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 16 January 2023
hard
#18ATP
1835ELO
1678Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$4.7MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLWWLW
Bellucci M.
6-4 6-1
Darderi L.
Bellucci M.
662
Darderi L.
410

Mattia Bellucci defeated Luciano Darderi 6-4 6-1 in the Australian Open qualifying final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Luciano Darderi came in ranked #18, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Mattia Bellucci claimed a first win over Luciano Darderi in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-30MarrakechR16clayLuciano Darderi6-4 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Bellucci M.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Darderi L.

Darderi L.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Bellucci M.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Bellucci M.Darderi L.
0
Serve
21
40
Return
31

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
52%
Service points won·Even
65%
64%
Return points won·Even
37%
39%
Break points saved·Even
64%
61%
Aces / match·Slight edge
6.2
5.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.8
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
60
78
Break points saved·Even
96
94
Break points won·Dominant
10
50
Deciding sets·Clear edge
81
93
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
85
94

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 49 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
5.1Hard Elo 1678
Surface ELO
4.9+1 Hard Elo edge
3.8Overall Elo 1720
ELO gap
6.2Overall Elo 1835
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.3
Surface form
5.8
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
8.4
Minutes 14d
9.0
Prev. match
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
100
100

Bellucci M.: 21 days rest · Darderi L.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
23°COvercast
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 56%
Q1
Paire B.
Pucinelli De Almeida M.
6-46-757-5
Mmoh M.[9]
Kuzuhara B.
6-16-0
Diaz Acosta F.
Brouwer G.
7-666-4
Elias G.
Uchida K.
6-757-636-1
Verdasco F.[16]
Serdarusic N.
3-66-46-2
Ymer E.[18]
Hardt N.
7-656-2
Galarneau A.
Peniston R.
7-656-2
Trungelliti M.
Blancaneaux G.
7-56-1
Sugita Y.
Gombos N.[10]
6-46-1
Gomez E.[4]
Broady L.
6-36-747-67
Bergs Z.[20]
Jin J.
7-636-1
Barrios Vera T.
Zekic M.
6-26-2
Varillas J.[5]
Marcora R.
3-66-37-65
Walton A.
Andujar P.[14]
6-16-2
Kudla D.[6]
Jasika O.
6-16-1
Couacaud E.
Grenier H.[28]
5-77-57-63
Brancaccio R.
Agamenone F.[26]
6-46-1
Dzumhur D.
Kuzmanov D.
6-36-1
Svrcina D.
Jubb P.
6-31-66-4
Gojowczyk P.
Pham D.
6-26-2
Tirante T.
Mena F.
6-16-1
Lokoli L.
Bellier A.
6-36-3
Shang J.
Marozsan F.
6-47-62
Tu L.
Kovalik J.[25]
6-26-2
Andreev A.
Maestrelli F.
7-654-67-65
Ofner S.
Meligeni Alves F.
7-666-4
Piros Z.
Escoffier A.
2-66-37-5
Riedi L.
Van Rijthoven T.[8]
6-33-0
Purcell M.
Cecchinato M.[2]
6-23-2
Passaro F.[13]
Rosol L.
6-33-66-3
Gaston H.[7]
Gerasimov E.
6-16-1
Kotov P.[11]
Olivieri G.
7-656-2
Jarry N.
Virtanen O.
5-76-47-66
Struff J.
Shevchenko A.
6-46-4
Rodionov J.[15]
Ionel N.
7-616-4
Krutykh O.
Kozlov S.
7-56-2
Sweeny D.
Kopriva V.[27]
6-16-1
Darderi L.
Ficovich J.
7-636-3
Stricker D.[12]
Stebe C.
6-36-4
Laaksonen H.
Bonadio R.
6-46-4
Hsu Y.
Furness E.
7-656-2
Escobedo E.
Nardi L.[23]
6-36-1
Taberner C.
Kovacevic A.
7-57-64
Muller A.
Mccabe J.
7-626-746-3
Klahn B.
Ferreira Silva F.
6-37-65
Kicker N.
Delbonis F.[17]
6-26-4
Holt B.
Albot R.[3]
5-76-36-4
Schoolkate T.
Coppejans K.
6-777-56-4
Tabilo A.[1]
Milojevic N.
6-06-2
Kukushkin M.
Duckworth J.
7-56-4
Zeppieri G.
Rodriguez Taverna S.
6-46-3
Krueger M.
Cobolli F.
6-06-4
Skatov T.[29]
Moreno De Alboran N.
6-36-4
Vukic A.[21]
Diallo G.
6-36-4
Watanuki Y.[30]
Sekulic P.
6-46-2
Hanfmann Y.[19]
Marterer M.
6-40-0
Noguchi R.
Winter E.
7-56-1
Bolt A.
Olivo R.
6-16-2
Bellucci M.
Wu T.
6-36-4
Polmans M.
Klein L.[24]
6-36-4
Nava E.
Vavassori A.
6-36-2
Arnaldi M.[22]
Ritschard A.
6-37-5
Pellegrino A.
Guinard M.[31]
7-675-77-64
Mager G.
Misolic F.[32]
6-23-67-66