Sebastian Baez vs Hubert Hurkacz — Cancun 2 Final
ARG1
POL3
Baez S.
Hubert Hurkacz defeated Sebastian Baez in the final of the Cancun 2 hard-court tournament. Despite being outbroken twice and losing one set, Hurkacz won the match 6-4, 0-6, 6-3. Hurkacz served 13 aces and won 81 percent of his first-serve points.
Key context
- Match story: Hubert Hurkacz dropped the opening set before beating Sebastian Baez 4–6 6–0 6–3.
Head to head
0–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-05-06 | Rome Masters | R16 | clay | Hubert Hurkacz | 5-7 7-6 6-4 |
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (36 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 02:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Hurkacz H. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadBaez S.: 3 days rest · 5 matches, 98 games (7d) · Hurkacz H.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 44 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About