Hubert Hurkacz vs Sebastian Baez — Rome Masters Round of 16

Rome Masters · ATP · Round of 16
Hubert Hurkacz
POL7
Hubert Hurkacz
#68ATP
1798ELO
1762Clay ELO
$1.3MYTD
$20MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 6 May 2024
clay
Sebastian Baez
ARG17
Sebastian Baez
#56ATP
1759ELO
1718Clay ELO
$924kYTD
$6.9MCAREER
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
Hurkacz H.
5-7 7-6 6-4
Baez S.
Hurkacz H.
57762
Baez S.
76441

Hubert Hurkacz defeated Sebastian Baez 5-7 7-6 6-4 in the Rome Masters round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Sebastian Baez came in ranked #56, defending last year's round of 64.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Hurkacz H.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Baez S.

Baez S.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Hurkacz H.

Serve advantage — Hurkacz H.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Hurkacz H.Baez S.
—
Serve
1
—
Return
44

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Hurkacz H.Baez S.
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
72%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
78%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
69%
60%
Return points won·Slight edge
35%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
69%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
12.5
2.0
Double faults / match·Even
1.6
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (106 vs 138). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Hurkacz H.Baez S.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
78
87
Break points saved·Even
100
96
Break points won·Dominant
40
86
Deciding sets·Slight edge
94
88
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
97
83

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Hurkacz H.
7.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Baez S.
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.0+45 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.0Clay Elo 1718
5.9Overall Elo 1798
ELO gap
4.1Overall Elo 1759
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
7.7
Surface form
5.5
Fatigue & Travel
7.3
Minutes 14d
7.6
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Hurkacz H.Baez S.
Freshness·Clear edge
76
96

Hurkacz H.: 8 days rest · 4 matches (14d) · Baez S.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
21°COvercast
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 56%
Final
Zverev A.[3]
Jarry N.[21]
6-47-5
Semi-finals
Zverev A.[3]
Tabilo A.[29]
1-67-646-2
Jarry N.[21]
Paul T.[14]
6-36-736-3
Quarter-finals
Paul T.[14]
Hurkacz H.[7]
7-53-66-3
Jarry N.[21]
Tsitsipas S.[6]
3-67-56-4
Tabilo A.[29]
Zhang Z.
6-36-4
Zverev A.[3]
Fritz T.[11]
6-46-3
R16
Tabilo A.[29]
Khachanov K.[16]
7-657-610
Hurkacz H.[7]
Baez S.[17]
5-77-646-4
Jarry N.[21]
Muller A.
7-56-3
Zhang Z.
Monteiro T.
7-646-3
Zverev A.[3]
Borges N.
6-27-5
Fritz T.[11]
Dimitrov G.[8]
6-26-7116-1
Tsitsipas S.[6]
De Minaur A.[9]
6-16-2
Paul T.[14]
Medvedev D.[2]
6-16-4
R32
Tabilo A.[29]
Djokovic N.[1]
6-26-3
Monteiro T.
Kecmanovic M.
6-24-67-66
Khachanov K.[16]
Cerundolo F.[20]
6-26-4
Zhang Z.
Shelton B.[12]
6-26-4
Zverev A.[3]
Darderi L.
7-636-2
Fritz T.[11]
Korda S.[24]
6-36-4
Dimitrov G.[8]
Atmane T.
7-636-3
Tsitsipas S.[6]
Norrie C.[27]
6-27-61
De Minaur A.[9]
Auger Aliassime F.[18]
6-726-46-4
Jarry N.[21]
Napolitano S.
6-24-66-4
Muller A.
Rublev A.[4]
3-66-36-2
Hurkacz H.[7]
Etcheverry T.[25]
7-676-2
Baez S.[17]
Rune H.[10]
2-66-26-3
Paul T.[14]
Koepfer D.
6-46-3
Medvedev D.[2]
Medjedovic H.
7-652-67-5
Borges N.
Passaro F.
4-67-687-64
R64
Djokovic N.[1]
Moutet C.
6-36-1
Tabilo A.[29]
Hanfmann Y.
6-37-64
Khachanov K.[16]
Shevchenko A.
6-46-4
Atmane T.
Musetti L.[26]
7-51-0
Dimitrov G.[8]
Nishioka Y.
7-56-4
Norrie C.[27]
Munar J.
6-31-66-3
De Minaur A.[9]
Carballes Baena R.
6-36-2
Jarry N.[21]
Arnaldi M.
6-27-66
Muller A.
Fils A.[31]
7-56-3
Baez S.[17]
Lajovic D.
7-637-66
Hurkacz H.[7]
Nadal R.
6-16-3
Napolitano S.
Shang J.
6-736-16-0
Tsitsipas S.[6]
Struff J.
6-716-46-4
Shelton B.[12]
Kotov P.
4-66-36-4
Monteiro T.
Thompson J.[32]
6-16-3
Kecmanovic M.
Ruud C.[5]
0-66-46-4
Zverev A.[3]
Vukic A.
6-06-4
Darderi L.
Navone M.[28]
6-36-2
Passaro F.
Griekspoor T.[23]
4-66-37-65
Borges N.
Bublik A.[15]
6-46-4
Fritz T.[11]
Fognini F.
6-36-4
Korda S.[24]
Cobolli F.
7-664-66-4
Auger Aliassime F.[18]
Van De Zandschulp B.
6-17-66
Rublev A.[4]
Giron M.
5-76-47-5
Etcheverry T.[25]
Seyboth Wild T.
6-37-5
Rune H.[10]
Nardi L.
6-46-4
Paul T.[14]
Karatsev A.
6-46-2
Koepfer D.
Tiafoe F.[22]
6-46-2
Medjedovic H.
Davidovich Fokina A.[30]
7-646-4
Medvedev D.[2]
Draper J.
7-56-4
Cerundolo F.[20]
Gigante M.
6-16-3
Zhang Z.
Mannarino A.[19]
6-16-3
R128
Kotov P.
Michelsen A.
6-16-1
Zhang Z.
Galan D.
6-27-5
Cobolli F.
Marterer M.
6-46-2
Atmane T.
Eubanks C.
6-46-4
Nishioka Y.
Ofner S.
6-32-67-64
Carballes Baena R.
Oconnell C.
6-775-0
Struff J.
Cachin P.
6-46-4
Borges N.
Martinez P.
6-736-47-68
Medjedovic H.
Popyrin A.
6-36-2
Nardi L.
Altmaier D.
6-46-4
Moutet C.
Safiullin R.
3-67-616-2
Hanfmann Y.
Mensik J.
6-36-2
Gigante M.
Zeppieri G.
7-626-4
Shevchenko A.
Marozsan F.
6-36-2
Monteiro T.
Monfils G.
6-27-5
Kecmanovic M.
Nakashima B.
6-46-4
Darderi L.
Shapovalov D.
6-746-37-64
Passaro F.
Rinderknech A.
6-737-57-67
Fognini F.
Evans D.
6-43-66-2
Van De Zandschulp B.
Moreno De Alboran N.
7-56-757-64
Napolitano S.
Wolf J.
6-27-63
Arnaldi M.
Mayot H.
3-67-56-4
Muller A.
Fucsovics M.
4-67-656-2
Giron M.
Ruusuvuori E.
3-66-36-3
Nadal R.
Bergs Z.
4-66-36-4
Lajovic D.
Sonego L.
6-36-756-3
Karatsev A.
Mcdonald M.
4-66-36-4
Koepfer D.
Vavassori A.
6-46-3
Draper J.
Coric B.
7-56-1
Munar J.
Hijikata R.
6-47-5
Seyboth Wild T.
Barrere G.
6-46-2
Vukic A.
Schwartzman D.
6-26-2