Lloyd Harris vs Pablo Llamas RuizCancun 2 Round of 16

Cancun 2 · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#139ATP
1665ELO
1640Hard ELO
$130kYTD
$4.7MCAREER
29 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWWWWWW
1 — 0
Sets
Retired
Friday, 21 August 2026 ·
hard
CANCHA 1 KATAN · 2nd on
#126ATP
1757ELO
1630Hard ELO
$268kYTD
$884kCAREER
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLLLWL
Harris L.
6-4 4-3
Llamas Ruiz P.
Harris L.
641
Llamas Ruiz P.
430

Lloyd Harris advanced to the quarterfinals of the Cancun 2 tournament with a win over Pablo Llamas Ruiz in the Round of 16. Llamas Ruiz retired during the match, trailing 6-4, 4-3. Harris converted 43% of his break points and won 70% of his first-serve points in the match.

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-08-28US OpenQ32hardLloyd Harris7-6(3) 6-3

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
72%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
52%
Service points won·Even
66%
64%
Return points won·Even
38%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
69%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.7
2.1
Double faults / match·Even
1.2
1.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 37). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
48
63
Break points saved·Even
89
88
Break points won·Dominant
12
39
Deciding sets·Clear edge
95
79
Tiebreaks·Dominant
25
72

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 21:50 UTC
Harris L.57%
Llamas Ruiz P.43%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.1+10 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.9Hard Elo 1630
3.9Overall Elo 1665
ELO gap
6.2Overall Elo 1757
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
9.39 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.75 of last 10 on hard
10.08-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
46
58

Harris L.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 99 games (7d) · Llamas Ruiz P.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 78 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
27°CClear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 68%

Draw