Lloyd Harris vs Pablo Llamas RuizUS Open Qualifying Round of 32

US Open · ATP · Qualifying Round of 32
#139ATP
1665ELO
1640Hard ELO
$130kYTD
$4.7MCAREER
29 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Friday, 28 August 2026 ·
hard
Court 14 · 1st on
#126ATP
1757ELO
1630Hard ELO
$268kYTD
$884kCAREER
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWLLLLWL
Harris L.
7-6 6-3
Llamas Ruiz P.
Harris L.
7762
Llamas Ruiz P.
6330

Lloyd Harris defeated Pablo Llamas Ruiz in the second round of US Open qualifying, 7-6, 6-3. Harris served 14 aces and won 79 percent of his first serves to Ruiz's 69 percent. Harris converted all four of his break points and won two service breaks to Ruiz's one.

Key context

  • Match story: Lloyd Harris closed it out in two sets, 7–6 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
72%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
52%
Service points won·Even
66%
64%
Return points won·Even
38%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
69%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.7
2.1
Double faults / match·Even
1.2
1.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 37). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
48
63
Break points saved·Even
89
88
Break points won·Dominant
12
39
Deciding sets·Clear edge
95
79
Tiebreaks·Dominant
25
72

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Harris L.61%
Llamas Ruiz P.39%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Harris L. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.1+10 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.9Hard Elo 1630
3.9Overall Elo 1665
ELO gap
6.2Overall Elo 1757
7.8Leads 2–0 on hard
H2H
2.2Trails 0–2 on hard
8.89 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.35 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
0.04 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
6.0Reached the R64 here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R128 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
46
58

Harris L.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 99 games (7d) · Llamas Ruiz P.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 78 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
27°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 67%

Draw