Rinko Matsuda vs Na Ri Kim — W15 Tianjin 3 Round of 16

W15 Tianjin 3 · ITF · Round of 16

JPN4

Rinko Matsuda

#484WTA

1100ELO

1103Hard ELO

21 yrs

Last 10

WWLWWLWLLW

—

Sets

Thursday, 20 August 2026 · 13:00

hard

KOR

Na Ri Kim

36 yrs

Last 10

WWWWWLLLWW

Matsuda R.

Ri Kim N.

Rinko Matsuda faces Na Ri Kim in the W15 Tianjin 3 round of 16 on hard. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 22:50 UTC

Matsuda R.63%

Ri Kim N.37%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Matsuda R. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Last match: Rinko Matsuda dropped just 5 games past Xiran Lan.
Last match: Na Ri Kim handed Zixuan Zeng a second-set bagel in a 6–2 6–0 win.
Win streak: Rinko Matsuda arrives on a 3-match winning run.

Common opponents

Last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months.

Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Matsuda R.

5.2

Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Ri Kim N.

3.5

Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Form & Matchup

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

7.17 of last 10 on hard

Surface form

2.33 of last 10 on hard

7.03-match win streak

Win streak

0.0Lost last 5

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

29 vs 2 matches

Statistics

This season

Matsuda R.Ri Kim N.

1st serve in·Slight edge

65%

56%

1st serve points won·Slight edge

61%

50%

2nd serve points won·Clear edge

45%

61%

Service points won·Even

56%

55%

Return points won·Slight edge

50%

40%

Break points saved·Dominant

50%

75%

Aces / match·Slight edge

1.2

0.5

Double faults / match·Slight edge

1.8

1.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 2). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

Matsuda R.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Ri Kim N.

Ri Kim N.serving50% hold

wins 50% of points on serve vs Matsuda R.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. Small sample — read as indicative. About

Conditions

Weather forecast

31°CThunderstorm

Wind 4 km/hHumidity 74%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.