Rinko Matsuda vs Ya Yi YangW15 Tianjin 3 Quarter-final

W15 Tianjin 3 · ITF · Quarter-final
#519WTA
1100ELO
1103Hard ELO
21 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLWWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Friday, 21 August 2026 ·
hard
#513WTA
22 yrs · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWWLWLW
Matsuda R.
7-6 6-7 6-4
Yi Yang Y.
Matsuda R.
7662
Yi Yang Y.
6741

Rinko Matsuda defeated Ya Yi Yang in the quarterfinals of the W15 Tianjin 3 tournament, winning 7-6, 6-7, 6-4 on hard courts. Matsuda hit 7 aces and 9 double faults, winning 61% of her first serves and converting 78% of break points. She won 7 service breaks to Yang's 6.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
57%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
45%
40%
Service points won·Slight edge
56%
50%
Return points won·Even
50%
46%
Break points saved·Even
50%
52%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.2
2.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.8
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 15). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 01:50 UTC
Matsuda R.65%
Yi Yang Y.35%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Matsuda R. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
3.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.17 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
2.12 of last 10 on hard
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
30°CMainly clear
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 68%

Draw